Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.616626 3.844942 4.090239 4.375190 4.699470 5.059960 5.495237
2025-06-01 3.230889 3.530990 3.871228 4.291470 4.805428 5.426275 6.254605
2025-06-08 2.961597 3.306605 3.714792 4.245399 4.936931 5.840589 7.177130
2025-06-15 2.774823 3.155056 3.621920 4.257618 5.138049 6.384804 8.454654
2025-06-22 2.571263 2.961065 3.452448 4.144740 5.149420 6.668569 9.465182
2025-06-29 2.383246 2.769741 3.266362 3.984032 5.063733 6.785302 10.254937
2025-07-06 2.250244 2.638424 3.146631 3.899929 5.076057 7.061707 11.509694
2025-07-13 2.207356 2.620909 3.177102 4.033034 5.447683 8.069356 15.204058
2025-07-20 2.145219 2.571983 3.158143 4.087807 5.699476 8.947934 19.816673
2025-07-27 2.125526 2.578783 3.217744 4.270816 6.216292 10.643722 32.278852
2025-08-03 2.086723 2.555344 3.229745 4.376635 6.614040 12.322330 59.069995
2025-08-10 2.009373 2.471906 3.144401 4.306350 6.638683 12.984197 93.372506
2025-08-17 1.906182 2.352570 3.006341 4.148914 6.490850 13.185065 153.144251
2025-08-24 1.830663 2.270458 2.921750 4.080162 6.533932 14.145755 2371.304918
2025-08-31 1.767980 2.204177 2.857854 4.042935 6.647220 15.561346 NaN
2025-09-07 1.720936 2.158606 2.823692 4.057291 6.894090 17.990261 NaN
2025-09-14 1.655113 2.081641 2.733833 3.956053 6.826511 18.835117 NaN
2025-09-21 1.585521 1.996168 2.625572 3.809780 6.613888 18.668878 NaN
2025-09-28 1.533899 1.935963 2.555758 3.733174 6.577918 19.688279 NaN
2025-10-05 1.522217 1.935920 2.585097 3.856328 7.136169 26.726024 NaN
2025-10-12 1.498432 1.915894 2.579261 3.907103 7.507691 34.907698 NaN
2025-10-19 1.494490 1.926394 2.626035 4.075365 8.341144 64.934194 NaN
2025-10-26 1.479238 1.918103 2.639217 4.172466 8.993575 150.222289 NaN